After the defeat by Afghanistan, Pakistan’s chances of reaching the semi-finals of the World Cup have definitely disappeared, but they are not over.
Pakistan have played five group matches in the tournament so far, in which they have won two and lost three. On the points table, Pakistan is on the fifth position with 4 points.
Pakistan now have four matches remaining and if Pakistan wins all of them, their maximum possible points will be 12. The national team will compete against South Africa on October 27, Bangladesh on October 31, New Zealand on November 4 and England on November 11.
Looking at the points table, India is first with 10 points, New Zealand is second with 8 points and South Africa is third with 6 points. New Zealand and India have played their five matches while South Africa is playing its fifth match against Bangladesh today.
India, New Zealand and South Africa seem to be in the semi-finals, but the real competition for the fourth qualifying position will be between Pakistan and Australia. Australia is fourth in the points table with 4 points but Australia have played four matches and have five matches to play.
If Australia lose only one of their remaining matches and succeed in four, then if Pakistan wins all the next matches, both the points will be 12, 12 and either of them will be in the semi-finals based on run rate. But if Australia loses two matches and Pakistan wins all the matches, then Pakistan will qualify for the semi-finals.
If South Africa lose two of their remaining matches, their points will be 12 with three defeats in 9 matches and then the third and fourth positions will be decided on run rate.
If Pakistan wants to make it to the semi-finals, they will not only have to win all their remaining matches but also focus on run rate to qualify for the fourth or third position on the basis of run rate.